
In my previous post, I made mention of how horsepal and H&R contributor Patty B. and I spent considerable weekend time discussing how the flurry of change--on nearly every front--is likely to affect the horse world. We're still discussing it, via e-mail, now that Patty's back home from her visit. (Photo is of Patty with her Aussie, Pearl.)
With her permission, I'll share some of what she sees coming:
"On the big-world level, my gut tells me we'll separate ourselves into two sects: Those who'll thrive during change, because they don't fear changes to the status quo and in fact embrace the chaos of uncertainty; and the hunker-downers, who'll cubby, burrow, bail, and bolt toward their own personal safety net. As this segment struggles to comprehend their changed state of being, divorce rates will rise, substance abuse rates will rise, debt rates will rise. We're seeing this already in foreclosures, bankruptcies, etc.
"On the horse-life level, the marginal owners and some of the newbies will be the bolters--I'm seeing that already in my own horse circles. Longtime, deeply committed horse people, even the rich ones, will find alternative ways to enjoy the horses. On the bigtime-show level, some of the uber-rich will find other things to do with their horses--not because they can't afford to play, but because it's no fun to be queen of the three people left showing in a class as opposed to being queen of 30!
"Others, those of standard lower-to-middle income, will find cheaper ways of feeding, and will let some areas of horse care slack--extending farrier visits, skipping vaccinations, and so on. Some will reach the point of having to choose between horse needs and human needs, and will hope in the meantime that they don't need car repair, medical care, etc. I witnessed this during the deep recession of the early '80s."
Please feel free to join the discussion. It won't be quite the same as a weekend at Juli's cabin, but you're invited to chime in nonetheless.